My Takeaways From Super Tuesday

The race for the Democratic and Republican nomination for the 2016 Presidential race just got more clear after Super Tuesday. Lets start with the Republicans. After commanding victories in New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada, Donald Trump has certainly asserted himself as the favorite for the Republican nomination after his Super Tuesday performance. Out of the 11 states that casted their votes for the Republican nomination, Donald Trump won 7 of them including Virginia, Georgia, and Alabama. At this point, it is obvious the only thing stopping Donald Trump from winning the nomination is Donald Trump. His closest opposition, Ted Cruz won his home state of Texas, Oklahoma, and Alaska but his support in the upcoming caucus and primary states is lacking since he only tends to appeal to Evangelical Christians and hardline Conservatives. Another candidate that was perceived to have a chance to challenge Trump for the nomination, Marco Rubio has drastically underperformed in the states that have casted votes so far. Rubio escaped Super Tuesday with his first win in the state of Minnesota, but his campaign is not doing well enough to potentially challenge Trump.  After Super Tuesday, Rubio wound up with a total of 106 delegates compared to Trump’s 316 delegates. The Republican nomination for president will need 1273 delegates to become the nominee and it looks like, barring an immense turnaround, Rubio will not be the nominee. Then there is Ted Cruz who has 226 delegates after Super Tuesday; however, Cruz is more disliked within the Republican party than Trump so it is difficult for me to see him garnering enough support from the party to get the delegate count needed with the upcoming electorates not in his favor too. Reluctantly, based on my own interpretations, I conclude Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee that takes on either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders in the general election.

Now, lets talk about the Democratic race for president. While Hillary Clinton is the presumed nomination for the Democrats, Bernie Sanders has gained more support than anyone thought he would thus making it harder for Clinton to secure the nomination. The Feel the Bern phenomenon is real and it has lead to Clinton critiquing her message to the people and Super Tuesday results reveal the new message is resonating. Just like Donald Trump, Clinton won 7 out of the 11 states that casted votes on Super Tuesday. As expected, Clinton won the states with big minority populations including Alabama and Georgia. Bernie Sander’s message has yet to resonate with potential minority voters besides for younger minority voters and the results on Super Tuesday speak for themselves. If Sanders is going to win the nomination he must receive more support from minorities than he has so far. Clinton remains strong with minority voters and ultimately minority voters are going to determine who the nominee will be. Sanders probably will take the race all the way to the Democratic Convention, but I do not think it will be enough. The delegate count right now for Clinton and Sanders after Super Tuesday is 577 and 386 respectively. A winning candidate for the Democrats needs to secure 2,383 delegates to win and in that regard Clinton is heavily favored. She already has 577 delegates and we all know about the amount of super-delegates she holds. In my opinion, it may be a long haul for Clinton but she will defeat Sanders and win the nomination.

If my predictions are correct, this would lead to a Trump v. Clinton showdown in the general election. I am not going to comment on who would win that potential matchup because that is for another time. The implications of this are great, though. Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the two candidates who have been repeatedly questioned by the media because of their past or current actions. Trump has made many questionable statements about minorities and women while Clinton has been scrutinized for her use of a private email server during her time as Secretary of State. Furthermore, Bernie Sanders has highlighted Clinton’s ties to Wall Street because of the contributions she has received from big banks such as Goldman Sachs. Without question, this would be one of the most intriguing general elections in the history of the United States if both become the nominees for their parties. Imagine Trump and Hillary going after each other over their multiple indiscretions.

Contributed by R.A.

 

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2 comments

  1. Please site where Trump has made questionable remarks about minorities and women.

    Once again the millennial generation strikes with their own brand of reality.

    Son, your entitled to your own opinion…but certainly not your own facts. Your blog of Super Tuesday (while accurate in regards to the delegate numbers) reads like a book report. Is this what passes for stimulating political blogging. [I know you personally, and you and I have had more stimulating conversation in regards to political discourse]. Impress me, show me what your made of. Give me and your readers an insight on your feelings regarding the election, candidates, and political shots taken on either side.

    I don’t care if your a liberal sanders socialist, trump demagogue, or clintonite. I want to know what you think. Tell me who your candidate is and why….that’s where my interests lie.

    Impress me sir…or I’ll have to kick you out of my house the next time your over for wasting my very valuable time.

    • Hi Rick, in the links below you will see his remarks calling Mexican immigrants “rapists” and then you will see him calling Rosie O Donnell a “dog”. Thank you for the feedback. I should have sourced the comments, or posted one of the many compilation videos of Trump being Trump. In retrospect, I should not have assumed that everyone reading this followed the election. Since Trump’s outrageous comments have been the focus of nearly all of his campaign coverage, I assumed it was common knowledge. Also, I would appreciate if you can point out the facts that you claim I made up. If you can point them out I will be more than happy to either correct my mistake, or add a source to explain where I found that particular fact. We can all use constructive criticism, and always encourage our viewers to give us as much feedback as possible. That being said, while you are absolutely entitled to your own opinion, you should also base your comments on facts. Instead of making ad hominem attacks like “Once again the millennial generation strikes with their own brand of reality” try pointing out the facts you disagree with and explain why. It would have been much more constructive (and a better critique in general) if you had put more emphasis on pointing out the facts that you disagree with, rather than vaguely condescending remarks, and dismissive generalities.
      http://www.cbsnews.com/news/election-2016-donald-trump-defends-calling-mexican-immigrants-rapists/
      http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2015/08/12/fact-check-trump-comments-women-megyn-kelly/31525419/

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